ABSTRACT
The observed epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 in sub-Saharan Africa has varied greatly from that in Europe and the United States, with much lower reported incidence. Population-based studies are needed to estimate true cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 to inform public health interventions. This study estimated SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in four selected states in Nigeria in October 2020. We implemented a two-stage cluster sample household survey in four Nigerian states (Enugu, Gombe, Lagos, and Nasarawa) to estimate age-stratified prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. All individuals in sampled households were eligible for interview, blood draw, and nasal/oropharyngeal swab collection. We additionally tested participants for current/recent malaria infection. Seroprevalence estimates were calculated accounting for the complex survey design. Across all four states, 10,629 (96·5%) of 11,015 interviewed individuals provided blood samples. The seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies was 25·2% (95% CI 21·8–28·6) in Enugu State, 9·3% (95% CI 7·0–11·5) in Gombe State, 23·3% (95% CI 20·5–26·4) in Lagos State, and 18·0% (95% CI 14·4–21·6) in Nasarawa State. Prevalence of current/recent malaria infection ranged from 2·8% in Lagos to 45·8% in Gombe and was not significantly related to SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence. The prevalence of active SARS-CoV-2 infection in the four states during the survey period was 0·2% (95% CI 0·1–0·4). Approximately eight months after the first reported COVID-19 case in Nigeria, seroprevalence indicated infection levels 194 times higher than the 24,198 officially reported COVID-19 cases across the four states;however, most of the population remained susceptible to COVID-19 in October 2020.
ABSTRACT
Background: There have been suggestions that hematologic abnormalities in COVID-19 are linked with the progression and severity of diseases and mortality. Lymphopenia, sepsis, and thrombocytopenia were highly reported in patients with COVID-19. This study investigated the significance of hematologic abnormalities in patients with COVID-19 in Lagos, Nigeria, and its potential as a diagnostic tool for COVID-19 severity. Results: This was a retrospective observational study with a total of 340 patients with COVID-19 (236 patients included in the analysis). These patients were categorized into two groups, comprising 71 patients with severe COVID-19 (SCP) and 165 patients with non-severe COVID-19 (NSCP). The majority were males in both categories (SCP 74.6% and NSCP 63.6%). The mean ± SD ages for SCP and NSCP were 52.28 ± 16.87 and 42.44 ± 17.18 years, respectively. The SCP (52.1%) and NSCP (20.0%) had underlying health conditions. The SCP exhibited significantly higher neutrophil counts (P < 0.05) and significantly lower mean hemoglobin, red blood cell (RBC), packed cell volume (PCV), and lymphocyte values (P < 0.05). Anemia and lymphocytopenia were more prominent in the SCP group than in the NSCP group (P < 0.05). Hemoglobin, RBC, PCV, and lymphocytes were inversely correlated with age-group in the SCP, while only lymphocytes and platelets were inversely correlated with age-group in the NSCP. The highest area under the ROC curve (AUC) for neutrophils was 0.739 with a sensitivity of 62.0% and specificity of 80.0%, while white blood cells had an AUC of 0.722 with a sensitivity of 73.2% and specificity of 61.2%. The AUC for neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was 0.766 with a sensitivity of 63.3% and specificity of 83.5%, while that for the platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) was 0.695 with a sensitivity and specificity of 61.7% and 77.8%. Conclusions: COVID-19 affected the levels of hemoglobin, RBC, PCV, and lymphocytes in the blood, and the differences were significant between the SCP and NSCP. The significant changes in neutrophil and lymphocyte counts may be useful in the prognosis and management of COVID-19 severity in hospital settings. Furthermore, NLR and PLR may be used in the prognosis and management of severe COVID-19 infection, as well as provide an objective basis for early identification and management in low-resource settings.
ABSTRACT
The observed epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 in sub-Saharan Africa has varied greatly from that in Europe and the United States, with much lower reported incidence. Population-based studies are needed to estimate true cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 to inform public health interventions. This study estimated SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in four selected states in Nigeria in October 2020. We implemented a two-stage cluster sample household survey in four Nigerian states (Enugu, Gombe, Lagos, and Nasarawa) to estimate age-stratified prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. All individuals in sampled households were eligible for interview, blood draw, and nasal/oropharyngeal swab collection. We additionally tested participants for current/recent malaria infection. Seroprevalence estimates were calculated accounting for the complex survey design. Across all four states, 10,629 (96·5%) of 11,015 interviewed individuals provided blood samples. The seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies was 25·2% (95% CI 21·8-28·6) in Enugu State, 9·3% (95% CI 7·0-11·5) in Gombe State, 23·3% (95% CI 20·5-26·4) in Lagos State, and 18·0% (95% CI 14·4-21·6) in Nasarawa State. Prevalence of current/recent malaria infection ranged from 2·8% in Lagos to 45·8% in Gombe and was not significantly related to SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence. The prevalence of active SARS-CoV-2 infection in the four states during the survey period was 0·2% (95% CI 0·1-0·4). Approximately eight months after the first reported COVID-19 case in Nigeria, seroprevalence indicated infection levels 194 times higher than the 24,198 officially reported COVID-19 cases across the four states; however, most of the population remained susceptible to COVID-19 in October 2020.